Did CoVID leak from a lab? A Bayesian approach

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Wuhan Institute of Virology

I’ve resisted the temptation to write about this, but I need to get something out. None of the push-back on the lab-leak theory is acknowledging how unusual it is for a new virus to appear in the only city in China with a BSL4 lab. Of all the large cities in China – all with wet markets I assume – … Read More

Diagnosis – the key to a sharp strategy

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A good diagnosis gives clarity

If you want a sharp strategy, you must diagnose your current situation well. The best strategies I see  are the ones that are elegant in their diagnosis of their current situation. Without a shared, tight, description of the challenges and opportunities you are facing, you will founder in trying to work out what to do. This term – diagnosis – comes … Read More

The “Now Hear This” Podcast Festival in LA

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Podcast

This is a jet-lagged post from the LAX American Airlines lounge waiting for a flight to Dallas. (Every Aussie frequent flyer should fly domestic in the US once in a while to realise how great we have it back home). Yesterday I spent my lay-over at the “Now Hear This” podcast festival in Anaheim. I got to see two of … Read More

The “centaur approach” to technology

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I’ve been thinking a lot about technology lately and how it’s going to impact humans at work. One client of mine is undertaking a strategic look at the future of work (and wondering about the future effects of AI on people and work); at the same time I’m preparing for a workshop in Palo Alto with a tech company that works … Read More

Podcasting the US election

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Podcast

Everyone thought Serial was going to change podcasting forever. I wonder whether actually it will be the 2016 US election. Unlike any other political campaign in the past, most of my news on the US presidential race is coming from podcasts. There are six key podcasts I follow for US politics right now: 538 Elections – Nate Silver’s data journalism … Read More

Quick post – The irony of Trump being undone by video

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Trump

It’s been a while since I posted last – principally because I’ve been on holidays (Texas, DC and New York) – and then settling back in. But it’s time to start posting regularly again. I was going to post on how the way we consume media has continued to evolve, but the irony of Trump’s self-immolation is too attractive to … Read More

Kitty Genovese and the 38 silent witnesses – the power of a narrative to incorrectly shape half a century of research

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Genovese

Last week Winston Moseley, convicted of the 1964 murder of Kitty Genovese, died in prison at the age of 81. In the words of Kitty Genovese’s brother, Moseley’s death marks “maybe, the final chapter in the tragic story of the events of the early morning of Friday, March 13, 1964”. If you’ve done any study in the social sciences, it’s odds … Read More